Ma Analysis Mistakes
Ma analysis isn’t an easy process to master despite its many advantages. In the process, errors can lead to inaccurate outcomes that have grave consequences. It is crucial to avoid making these mistakes and recognize them to maximize the effectiveness of data-driven decisions. The majority of these mistakes result from omissions or misinterpretations. These can be easily rectified by establishing clearly defined goals and encouraging accuracy over speed.
Another mistake that is common is to assume that the variable has normal distribution even though it does not. This can lead to over-/under-fitting their models, resulting in lower the accuracy of their predictions and confidence levels. Furthermore, it could cause leakage between the test and training set.
When choosing the MA method, it’s important to select one that meets the requirements of your trading style. For example, a SMA is ideal for markets that are trending, while an EMA is more reactive (it eliminates the lag that exists in the SMA by putting priority on the most recent data). In addition, the parameters of the MA should be chosen carefully based on whether or not you are seeking the trend to be long-term or short-term (the 200 EMA is a good choice for a longer timeframe).
It is also essential to make sure you check your work prior to sending it to be reviewed. This is especially true when dealing with large quantities of data as errors are more likely to occur. Having a supervisor or colleague take a look at your work may help you spot any errors that you might have overlooked.